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(→Penetration Formula: latexed the penetration for safe and fun) |
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For a round of penetration, 1d10 is rolled three times. | For a round of penetration, 1d10 is rolled three times. | ||
<math alt="Penetration Roll equals 1 d 10 plus PV minus two times Penetration Round">PenetrationRoll = (1d10 + PV-((Penetration Round)\times 2))</math> | |||
If any of these + the attackers PV are greater than the opponents AV, the attack will penetrate once. If all three 1d10s + PV are greater than the AV, the attack penetrates once and another round of penetration is done, rerolling 3 more 1d10s + PV-2. | If any of these + the attackers PV are greater than the opponents AV, the attack will penetrate once. If all three 1d10s + PV are greater than the AV, the attack penetrates once and another round of penetration is done, rerolling 3 more 1d10s + PV-2. | ||
The chance of | The chance of <math alt="n">n</math> penetrations goes by the formula: | ||
3(1- | <math>3 \left ( 1-\frac{AV-(PV-2n)}{10}\right ) - 3 \left ( 1-\frac{AV-(PV-2n)}{10} \right ) ^2 + \left ( 1-\frac{AV-(PV-2n)}{10}\right ) ^3\times\left ( \frac{AV-(PV-2(n+1))}{10}\right ) ^3</math> | ||
If PV = AV, the formula simplifies to | |||
<math>3 \left ( 1-\frac{2n}{10}\right ) - 3 \left ( 1-\frac{2n}{10} \right ) ^2 + \left ( 1-\frac{2n}{10}\right ) ^3\times\left ( \frac{2(n+1)}{10}\right ) ^3</math> | |||
The probability table would be | |||
{| | |||
! Penetrations | |||
! Probability distribution | |||
! Probability (cumulative) | |||
|- | |||
|0 | |||
|0.008 | |||
|0.008 | |||
|- | |||
|1 | |||
|0.512768 | |||
|0.520768 | |||
|- | |||
|2 | |||
|0.392527872 | |||
|0.913295872 | |||
|- | |||
|3 | |||
|0.752768 | |||
|0.996545991 | |||
|- | |||
|4 | |||
|0.488 | |||
|1.000000 | |||
|- | |||
|5 | |||
|0 | |||
|1 | |||
|} | |||
( | |||
===Derivation=== | |||
<math>\frac{AV-(PV-2n)}{10}</math> is the probability that a single roll at <math alt="n">n</math> rounds of penetration fails. | |||
If <math alt="A sub n">A_n</math>, <math alt="B sub N">B_n</math>, <math alt="C sub N">C_n</math>, are each the probability 1 successful roll at n rounds of penetration: | |||
<math>\rightarrow A_n=B_n=C_n = 1-\frac{AV-(PV-2n)}{10}</math> | |||
The probability of n penetrations becomes a sum of the chance that that 1 or 2 out of 3 rolls hit: | |||
<math>(A_n \or B_n\or C_n) - \big( (A_n \and B_n) \or (B_n \and C_n) \or (A_n \and C_n) \big)</math> | |||
OR the probability that all 3 rolls hit, but the second round of penetration fails to penetrate at all: | |||
<math>(A_n \and B_n \and C_n) \and (\sim A_{n+1} \and \sim B_{n+1} \and \sim C_{n+1}) </math> | |||
[[Category:Mechanics]] | [[Category:Mechanics]] |